Thursday, 3 March 2016

Where We Are Standing .......... Where We Are Heading....... RSP VIEW ON #NIFTY

Hello Readers,
Today we will discuss about 
#Nifty PPF( Past,Present & Future) 

Nifty Bounced 650 Point From Recent low of 6826 in 4 days. thats exact frm 200 Weekly SMA.

Im tweeted that Chart on FEB 11. Check Here
This Moving avg Holding from 2539 till now :D 6951 is current value todays low 6959.

So Now Today we closed at 7476 spot.

Now the Question is This rally is Freak Bounce or we done the bottom-out.

Lets Analysed With Technical Analysis.

1. As of Now We are Holding 200 Weekly Sma thats good sign for bulls.
2. But In daily Chart we are trading below 200SMA. thats not a good sign. 

Golden Rule: #When stocks/Index are Trading Below 200SMA No Low is good enough.

Ex. Justdial Broke 200SMA around 1450 Now made low 375. 
Kaveriseed 872 to 320, SBI 280 to 150, PNB 190 to 70. many more. 

3.So what is Current Value of 200SMA Nifty. its 7953. 
And 7979-73 is Trend-line Resistance Zone too. So Close above 7980.

So Close Above 200SMA & Last Swing High 7979 Only We Can Expect That Nifty Will Bottom-out. 
& that Time 
 i)We will Above 200SMA In Both Daily & weekly Time-Frame. 
ii) Start of Higher-High Formation.
 iii) Breakout From Falling Channel. 

4. Now Next Question comes in a mind is what if we will fail to cross & Close above 7979.Answer is So again expect a Fall & Test of 6850 and Close Below 6850 or 200WSMA Target 6666-6363. 

So 6850-7979 is Range & Truth is we are Trading in falling channel. So DownTrend for Nifty. 

So Now Lets Talk about Current Scenario.
LTP 7476.
Going Forward 7575-7615 is strong resistance zone & 7245-35 is Strong support zone.
If we Closed Above 7615 Then Next Target 7878.
Due to Positive Div in daily We can test of 200SMA. or 7878 .Confirmation only above 7615.

Remember an important point folks. 
NO ONE CAN TELL THE FUTURE. What we are trying to do here, with Technical Analysis, is to provide ourselves with a framework to base our trades upon.

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Disclaimer :The Above view is purely for educational purpose. Nothing contained herein is a solicitation to trade or a recommendation of a specific trade. By reading this publication you agree to make no trade relying in whole or in part on the comments of the writers.